Tuesday, February 1, 2011
Worst Possible Outcome
Egypt seems likely to have a new unity government supplanting Hosni Mubarak. The leader who will emerge from the opposition seems to be Mohamed ElBaradei who will be the public face Egypt presents to the rest of the world. ElBaradei will be a puppet though to Islamists behind him who will pull his strings. He will be the moderate face to immoderate ideas and will provide a sheen of respectability to the Muslim Brotherhood who will have the ultimate say on Egypt's new direction. The reborn Egypt will despise the West and be determined to destroy Israel. Egypt may be the Sunni equivalent of Shia Iran with a huge young population and aggressive intentions against the Jewish state.