Exit's Immediate Impact

So what happens to Afghanistan when the forces of civilization turn tail and leave the field to violent Islamists? First, I would say a refugee crisis will ensue on a scale not seen since the Cambodian boat people. Any sane Afghan who cooperated with US or allied forces had better run with close family members or risk all being slaughtered by vengeful Taliban. Any teacher who had the temerity to instruct girls along with girls so bold as to have thought they deserved equal education had better flee quickly as well as the new masters of Afghanistan will have no tolerance for "uppity women". Then there is Karzai, the supposed national leader who only really controls the area of Kabul where his Western backers provide a security cordon- the instant his sponsors depart, if he does not abscond with them and whatever ill-gotten booty he can carry- Karzai will go the way of Najibullah, his Soviet-installed predecessor of earlier decades or more recently, Libya's widely despised Qaddafi.